Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#101
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#87
Pace70.1#138
Improvement+3.8#41

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#85
First Shot+3.3#82
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#176
Layup/Dunks+6.4#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#115
Freethrows+0.9#109
Improvement+3.1#54

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#128
First Shot+1.0#141
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#126
Layups/Dunks-0.5#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#136
Freethrows+0.8#125
Improvement+0.7#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 3.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.00.0 - 3.0
Quad 21.0 - 5.01.0 - 8.0
Quad 37.0 - 1.08.0 - 9.0
Quad 414.0 - 0.022.0 - 9.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 95   @ BYU L 65-75 37%     0 - 1 -1.9 -11.4 +10.3
  Nov 11, 2018 35   @ St. Mary's L 63-92 19%     0 - 2 -14.8 -2.7 -12.5
  Nov 16, 2018 37   @ Utah St. L 46-65 20%     0 - 3 -5.1 -21.4 +16.7
  Nov 19, 2018 193   Hartford W 72-65 74%     1 - 3 +5.0 -9.7 +14.3
  Nov 21, 2018 217   Long Beach St. W 87-72 77%     2 - 3 +11.9 +11.3 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2018 258   North Dakota W 74-68 89%     3 - 3 -2.5 -0.9 -1.5
  Dec 01, 2018 304   Denver W 98-75 93%     4 - 3 +11.6 +11.3 -1.3
  Dec 06, 2018 98   @ Arizona L 69-80 38%     4 - 4 -3.1 +0.5 -3.5
  Dec 08, 2018 300   @ Northern Arizona W 98-78 83%     5 - 4 +14.6 +20.3 -5.8
  Dec 15, 2018 212   @ Weber St. W 75-63 68%     6 - 4 +12.0 +3.4 +8.8
  Dec 19, 2018 324   Idaho St. W 88-77 95%     7 - 4 -2.8 +5.8 -8.3
  Dec 22, 2018 177   Sam Houston St. W 85-79 79%     8 - 4 +2.3 +8.5 -6.2
  Dec 29, 2018 72   @ Fresno St. W 64-60 31%     9 - 4 +13.8 -3.2 +17.1
  Jan 03, 2019 113   @ Grand Canyon L 60-71 42%     9 - 5 0 - 1 -4.2 -10.0 +5.8
  Jan 05, 2019 222   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-73 70%     9 - 6 0 - 2 -2.7 +6.9 -9.8
  Jan 12, 2019 181   Seattle W 88-78 80%     10 - 6 1 - 2 +6.0 +11.1 -5.6
  Jan 17, 2019 168   UT Rio Grande Valley W 82-61 78%     11 - 6 2 - 2 +17.6 +6.4 +10.3
  Jan 19, 2019 53   New Mexico St. L 78-83 44%     11 - 7 2 - 3 +1.2 +9.8 -8.7
  Jan 24, 2019 233   @ UMKC W 75-67 72%     12 - 7 3 - 3 +6.7 +0.8 +5.8
  Jan 26, 2019 351   @ Chicago St. W 74-60 97%     13 - 7 4 - 3 -3.0 -2.4 +0.3
  Jan 30, 2019 197   California Baptist W 79-62 82%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +11.9 +2.5 +9.7
  Feb 14, 2019 53   @ New Mexico St. L 77-84 25%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +4.8 +5.0 +0.2
  Feb 16, 2019 168   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-64 60%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +14.2 +6.9 +7.2
  Feb 21, 2019 351   Chicago St. W 103-71 99%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +9.5 +16.8 -8.0
  Feb 23, 2019 233   UMKC W 79-67 86%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +5.1 +5.7 -0.1
  Feb 26, 2019 181   @ Seattle W 77-68 62%     18 - 8 9 - 4 +10.6 +7.0 +3.6
  Mar 02, 2019 197   @ California Baptist W 64-63 66%     19 - 8 10 - 4 +1.4 -4.5 +6.0
  Mar 07, 2019 113   Grand Canyon W 82-70 63%     20 - 8 11 - 4 +13.3 +1.7 +10.5
  Mar 09, 2019 222   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-61 85%     21 - 8 12 - 4 +8.8 +10.4 +0.5
  Mar 14, 2019 233   UMKC W 71-64 80%     22 - 8 +2.9 +3.0 +0.6
  Mar 15, 2019 113   Grand Canyon L 74-78 53%     22 - 9 +0.0 +3.5 -3.5
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%